Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.359917e-03 0.001525 0.001692 0.001873 0.002063 0.002255 0.002466
2025-01-26 1.086816e-03 0.001322 0.001567 0.001842 0.002139 0.002447 0.002790
2025-02-02 8.751206e-04 0.001158 0.001465 0.001818 0.002208 0.002622 0.003092
2025-02-09 7.667896e-04 0.001095 0.001462 0.001895 0.002382 0.002908 0.003510
2025-02-16 6.343916e-04 0.000990 0.001402 0.001899 0.002471 0.003095 0.003821
2025-02-23 4.827498e-04 0.000844 0.001282 0.001826 0.002464 0.003172 0.004004
2025-03-02 3.622862e-04 0.000722 0.001179 0.001764 0.002462 0.003249 0.004184
2025-03-09 2.681058e-04 0.000621 0.001093 0.001714 0.002470 0.003332 0.004367
2025-03-16 2.003934e-04 0.000546 0.001033 0.001690 0.002504 0.003443 0.004578
2025-03-23 1.724143e-04 0.000528 0.001044 0.001754 0.002642 0.003673 0.004926
2025-03-30 1.336024e-04 0.000484 0.001018 0.001767 0.002716 0.003826 0.005183
2025-04-06 9.750434e-05 0.000436 0.000981 0.001763 0.002767 0.003952 0.005408
2025-04-13 4.655787e-05 0.000349 0.000893 0.001707 0.002777 0.004056 0.005643
2025-04-20 1.814618e-05 0.000288 0.000837 0.001693 0.002839 0.004226 0.005960
2025-04-27 2.929465e-06 0.000234 0.000785 0.001679 0.002902 0.004398 0.006281
2025-05-04 1.657792e-07 0.000219 0.000798 0.001761 0.003088 0.004721 0.006785
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000182 0.000764 0.001769 0.003178 0.004927 0.007149
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000127 0.000683 0.001702 0.003163 0.005001 0.007355
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000085 0.000613 0.001643 0.003157 0.005083 0.007567
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000053 0.000553 0.001596 0.003162 0.005177 0.007793
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000033 0.000511 0.001574 0.003200 0.005311 0.008066
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000029 0.000520 0.001637 0.003357 0.005595 0.008523
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000019 0.000501 0.001649 0.003441 0.005787 0.008866